A handful of predictions I’m making for the upcoming year. Some are more likely than others. Predictions will be marked off as they occur, with links to news stories.
| Greenland applies to rejoin the EU | Trump administration attempts to prosecute someone pardoned by Biden | Category 5 hurricane makes landfall | Plane crasha | Member of the Trump admin says a slur in public |
| High-profile assassination | Tool use discovered in another species | Senate parliamentarian overruled or fired | Cloudflare/AWS/Azure outage | Regionally-eradicated disease has significant community spread |
| Significant number of snowbirds sell their US houses | “AI” company or division shuts down | Lesbians stay winning | Trump threatens to terminate USMCA | Rooftop/backyard solar panel ban attemptedb |
| Satellite crash occurs | Lecornu government collapses (again) | Bill banning selling plant-based “milks” as such proposed federally or passed in a state | US bonds downgraded | Country bans US tourists |
| NATO article 4 invoked | Sale of single-use plastic water bottles bannedb | Trump fires a member of the cabinet, senior staff, or close advisor | Trump attempts to revoke California’s CAA waiver | Stuck boat |
a This does not include crashes involving only private or military aircraft.
b This does not include bans in small towns. Municipal bans will only count in cities with a population of at least 50 thousand.
Bonus predictions
Some predictions could be ruled out partway through the year. If included in the bingo board, this would leave spaces doomed to be left unmarked for the rest of the year.
- Winter Olympics have to artificially chill an outdoor venue due to climate change
- Implementation of ballot SC-81 breaks something
- ICE interferes with the World Cup
- Donald Trump does not win a Nobel Peace Prize
- Luigi Mangione acquitted
- Chromium continues not to support alternative stylesheets